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Bitcoin supply halving

In most state-issued currencies a central bank, such as the U. Federal Reserve, has tools at its disposal that enable it to add or remove dollars from circulation. If the economy is floundering, for instance, the Fed can increase circulation and encourage lending by purchasing securities from banks. Alternately, if the Fed wants to remove dollars from the economy, it can sell securities from its account.

For better or worse, bitcoin is a bit different. For one, the supply schedule is all but set in stone. Changing it would require an immense output of coordination and agreement across the community of Bitcoin users. There will only ever be 21 million bitcoins.

Another unique aspect of Bitcoin is Nakamoto programmed the block reward to decrease over time. This is another way in which it differs from the norm for modern financial systems, where central banks control the money supply.


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Nakamoto left clues that they created Bitcoin for political reasons. If widely adopted, Bitcoin could potentially reduce the power banks and governments have over monetary policy, including bailouts of struggling institutions. As shown with the block reward, no central entity can create bitcoin outside of the strict schedule. A bitcoin halving grabs so much attention mostly because many believe it will lead to a price increase. As it turned out, the price began to rise shortly after the halving.

What is bitcoin halving and will it affect the rate?

The second halving in was highly anticipated, as is the one now approaching, with CoinDesk running a live blog of the event and Blockchain. While the immediate impact on the price of bitcoin was small, the market did tally a gradual increase over the year following the second halving. Some argue this increase was a delayed result of the halving.

The theory is that when the supply of bitcoin declines, the demand for bitcoin will stay the same, pushing the price up. If that theory is correct, then we could observe similar price increases after future halvings, including the one scheduled for this year. Traders have long known the bitcoin block reward will decrease, giving them ample time to prepare.

As pseudonymous independent researcher Hasu put it, there are two parts to making Bitcoin work. Only the owner of a private key which is like a secret access code can spend the bitcoin. The game theory that secures Bitcoin requires that a miners have an incentive to mine honest blocks [and] b miners have a cost Without the block rewards, the network would be in chaos.

Hasu explains that if they have enough computing power, miners can attack the network in two ways: By double-spending coins or by stopping transactions from going through. But they are strongly incentivized not to try either, because then they would risk losing their block rewards.

The more computing power miners direct towards Bitcoin, the harder it is to attack because an attacker would need to have a significant portion of this processing power, known as the hashrate, to execute such an attack. The more money they can earn by way of block rewards, the more mining power goes to Bitcoin, and thus the more protected the network is. Miners need an incentive to do what they do. They need to get paid. But the consequence of this dropping block reward is that eventually, it will dwindle to nothing. Transaction fees, which users pay each time they send a transaction, are the other way miners earn money.

Historical bitcoin halving dates

Theoretically, these fees are optional, although as a practical matter a transaction without one might have to wait a long time to be processed if the network is congested; the size of the fee is set by the user or their wallet software. This is the third halving since Bitcoin's creation in The first took place in November, , and the second in July The next halving is due to take place in May Bitcoin's code also means that rewards to miners will continue to halve every , blocks until they reach zero, limiting the total number of Bitcoins that will ever exist to 21 million.

This is because - unlike currencies such as the dollar, pound or euro - digital currencies have no central banks to regulate their supply. Supporters of the cryptocurrency say that this scarcity is part of what underpins its value and makes it a potential safe haven against currencies that are vulnerable to devaluation during times of economic crisis.

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That came after a report that hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones has backed the cryptocurrency as a safeguard against inflation. However some investors have highlighted that halving could make the cryptocurrency less attractive to miners. Correction 8th June An earlier version of this article incorrectly stated that rewards to miners will reach zero in around two decades' time.

However this will happen in and so this sentence has been amended.

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